What to Expect, Timing for Storms in Dallas-Fort Worth

Storm chances increase for North Texas between 12 p.m. and 6 p.m. Monday


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Monday presents a real concern for widespread severe weather for portions of northwestern Texas and up into Oklahoma where several cities are in the "high risk" category including Wichita Falls, Vernon, Childress, Seymour and Snyder in Texas and Lawton, and Oklahoma City in Oklahoma; it's the first time the area has been under a "high risk" warning since 2017.

In this "high risk" area, a violent tornado outbreak is possible, including the threat for long-track, devastating tornadoes.

updated severe wx risk 052019

For North Texas, our risk of severe weather today is highly "conditional." This means storms may or may not develop and become severe. The chance is certainly there, but not all of the necessary ingredients are in place.

Winds are expected to increase early Monday afternoon and remain gusty overnight. A Wind Advisory is in effect until 1 a.m. Tuesday as sustained south winds are expected to be between 20 mph and 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph -- winds at that speed could cause damage unsecured outdoor items. Also, driving may become difficult on east-west roads, especially for high-profile vehicles. The advisory impacts the following counties: Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas, Denton, Eastland, Ellis, Erath, Falls, Grayson, Hamilton, Hill, Hood, Jack, Johnson, Lampasas, McLennan, Milam, Mills, Montague, Palo Pinto, Parker, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Wise, Young.

storm chances wide map
dfw storm chances monday

The three main ingredients needed for severe weather are instability, moisture and lift. The "lift" is essentially the trigger to get storms to develop. This is the ingredient that is questionable.

However, since our instability is going to be very high, the possibility of seeing severe weather is certainly present this afternoon.

The timing for isolated severe storms in North Texas is this afternoon between 12 p.m. and 6 p.m. These storms will be isolated and not for everyone. But, if they develop, they could pose a risk for tornadoes and high winds.

futurecast monday 2p
futurecast monday 7p

As the storms out west continue to develop during the day and into tonight, they will likely merge into a solid line. This line will likely move into North Texas overnight and is expected to impact DFW Tuesday morning.

futurecase tues 7a

Strong winds will be the main concern, along with heavy downpours. It looks like this will impact the morning commute for Tuesday.

After the line clears tomorrow, the pattern looks quiet for several days.

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NBC 5 Forecast: Storm chances Friday and the weekend

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Before the Storm
Weather Safety
Stay Safe During a Hail Storm
 
At Home?
  • Head indoors immediately
  • If time allows, close all drapes, blinds or shades to prevent broken glass from entering your home.
  • Stay away from windows and skylights (any exterior glass) and head to a safe location inside your home, ideally only with interior walls.
Outdoors?
  • Cover your head and seek shelter indoors immediately.
  • If you are trapped outside, get to a low-lying area and try to protect your head. Use clothing if it's all you have.
Driving?
  • Stay inside your vehicle.
  • Slow down or pull over and stop at a safe location. DO NOT stop under a highway overpass. You may be protecting your vehicle, but you could be forcing other people to stop behind you.
  • Turn your back to windows or cover yourself with a blanket, coat or spare clothing to protect yourself from breaking glass.
  • If you have a sunroof, try to find something to protect your head.

 

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