The NFL Draft is one of the least predictable events in sports, but I take my best shot at calling the first round in a "what I think will happen" mock, rather than a "what I would do" version.
There will be several trades in the first round of the real draft, but none will be predicted in this mock.
See how wrong I am when the first round of the 2015 NFL Draft begins at 7 p.m. Thursday.
- Tampa Bay: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State - Safest QB in the draft. Questionable decisions at times, but pro ready with upside.
- Tennessee: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon - High ceiling, but needs time to run a traditional offense. Could be SD picking here. Could drop.
- Jacksonville: Vic Beasley, EDGE, Clemson - The ideal LEO end in Gus Bradley's defense. Perfect fit.
- Oakland: Kevin White, WR, West Virginia - Raiders need offense. White can stretch field and take advantage of Carr's arm.
- Washington: Randy Gregory, EDGE, Nebraska - GM McCloughan improves the defense with the best player available on the defensive front.
- New York Jets: Bud Dupree, EDGE, Kentucky - Production doesn't wow you, but his level of athleticism rarely fails in the NFL.
- Chicago: Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama - The Bears need another WR and Cooper is as "plug and play" as it gets.
- Atlanta: Dante Fowler, EDGE, Florida - Falcons are happy to land a dynamic pass rusher.
- New York Giants: La'el Collins, OT, LSU - Power-run blocker with underrated athleticism fills huge need.
- St. Louis: Brandon Scherff, OL, Iowa - Top offensive lineman for many should kick inside and become dominant guard.
- Minnesota: DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville - Reunites with his college quarterback.
- Cleveland: Danny Shelton, DT, Washington - Slight reach, but it's hard to find a three-down NT.
- New Orleans: Leonard Williams, DT, USC - Excellent run-stuffing 5T prospect lacks top-notch pass rush.
- Miami: Cameron Erving, OL, Florida State - Versatile offensive lineman gets to stay close to home.
- San Francisco: Arik Armstead, DT, Oregon - Stout run-stuffing 5T with pass-rushing upside.
- Houston: Nelson Agholor, WR, USC - Whichever QB they throw out there needs weapons.
- San Diego: Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia - Elite RB prospect balances the Chargers' offense.
- Kansas City: Malcom Brown, DT, Texas - 3T, 5T, whatever. Brown will disrupt offenses and protect a mediocre secondary.
- Cleveland (from Buffalo): Breshad Perriman, WR, UCF - Not addressing the position means they have to reach slightly for a Josh Gordon replacement.
- Philadelphia: Byron Jones, CB, Connecticut - Safety size and unreal athleticism. Sounds like Chip's guy.
- Cincinnati: Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford - Ultra-athletic left tackle has elite athleticism, but needs to play nastier.
- Pittsburgh: Landon Collins, S, Alabama - Very good box safety, but won't make anyone forget Troy Polamalu.
- Detroit: DJ Humphries, OT, Florida - Great value for a left tackle who held SEC edge rushers in check last season.
- Arizona: Shane Ray, EDGE, Missouri - Arizona seems to value production over athleticism, which makes Ray a fit at a position of need.
- Carolina: TJ Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh - Highly athletic and physical, but raw. Match made in heaven.
- Baltimore: Marcus Peters, CB, Washington - Feisty and talented cover cornerback fits perfectly in Baltimore.
- Dallas: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin - I think the Cowboys trade back, but Gordon would be a fine consolation if they stay. Every down runner with limited dropoff from Murray.
- Denver: Cedric Ogbuehi OT, Texas A&M - His versatility to play tackle and guard gives the Broncos flexibility in the rest of the draft.
- Indianapolis: Eric Rowe, DB, Utah - A slight reach, but the Colts need safeties in a bad year for them.
- Green Bay: Shaq Thompson, LB, Washington - Rolling the dice here that the Packers realize Thompson's potential impact.
- New Orleans (from Seattle): Danielle Hunter, EDGE, LSU - Might be a reach, but Hunter plays well in space and has huge upside.
- New England: Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson - Belichik is salivating in hopes of landing the disruptive, underrated Geno Atkins clone.
