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Against the Odds: Week 16

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    NEWSLETTERS

    OK, we all know betting on sports is illegal in 46 states, so don't do it unless you're in Vegas, Oregon, Montana or Delaware, but if you're going, you can make these bets for me.

    Denver (-2.5) at Buffalo, Saturday, noon — Say what you want about Tim Tebow, but he's getting better and he's winning football games. There's a lot you can say about the Buffalo Bills, with the fact that they've all but thrown in the towel after starting the season hot being one of the main ones. Willis McGahee seems to be healthy for the Broncos at running back, and the Bills' offense has struggled since losing RB Fred Jackson for the season with an injury. Oh yeah, and that Broncos defense is playing really well at the moment too and will put a ton of pressure on Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Yup, give me the Broncos by at least a field goal.

    Miami (+9.5) at New England, Saturday, noon — Will the Miami Dolphins win this game at Foxboro? Most likely not. But that doesn't mean it won't be a game, and I could even see the Patriots jump out to a quick lead before the Dolphins reel themselves back into the game behind the arm of Matt Moore and the legs of Reggie Bush. The Patriots defense has been awful this season, particularly in the secondary, which should set up for a big game from Moore and Brandon Marshall. After all, the Patriots have allowed multiple TD passes to guys like Tebow, Dan Orlovsky and Rex Grossman in recent weeks. Moore and his weapons are better than all of those guys.

    New York Giants (+3.5) at New York Jets, Saturday, noon — This game will have a lot of interest from Dallas Cowboys fans as a Jets win and Cowboys win will lock up the NFC East for the Cowboys. Eli Manning is coming off a terrible, horrific game last week against the Washington Redskins and he'll be looking to bounce back. Of course, the Jets' defense and the Revis Island that comes with it isn't exactly the best team to bounce back against. But the Jets have Mark Sanchez. One of them has to give. Really, I think this will be a close game either way, which would point to the Giants with the points.

    San Diego at Detroit (-2.5), Saturday, 3 p.m. — This game has all the makings of a shootout, but the Lions are at home and they tend to score a lot of points there. This game pits two of the best quarterbacks around against each other in the Lions Matthew Stafford, a Dallas native, and San Diego gunslinger Philip Rivers, who is always at the top of his game in December, a trend that has continued this season after a terrible start to the season.

    Philadelphia at Dallas (-1.5), Saturday, 3 p.m. — Felix Jones is still allegedly expected to play on Saturday despite having not practiced all week. If he can't go, we'll see a full dose of Sammy Morris. That could be interesting. Truthfully, if the Giants beat the Jets, this game won't matter and there's talk that players could be rested for the following week against the Giants, which would be for all the marbles. So it's hard to pick, but based on the assumption everyone will play, give me the Cowboys. Tony Romo is playing extremely well right now, and the Cowboys will be out for blood after being embarrassed in Philly last month. And don't expect Rob Ryan's unit to get owned by Michael Vick & Co. again.